Week 2: Getting Clearer
Well I'm really ashamed of my picks last week. The Auburn pick was dumb and I couldn't have known less about the NC State game. That being said, I was .5 point away from a winning week. And outside the blog picks, I took LSU on Thursday and Texas Tech on Monday to pull out a winning week. I feel like I have a little bit better idea about several teams this week so let's see how it goes.
Missouri -6 OLE MISS: The Rebels got out to an early lead last week with a blocked punt and pick six generating two of their three touchdowns. Then they held on for dear life to pull out the game. Even though they'll be back in the friendly confines of Vaught-Hemingway, I don't think they have the fire power to keep up with Missouri. Through two games, Mizzou is the value pick that America hasn't caught up with yet.
TENNESSEE -10.5 Southern Miss: Night game at Neyland after going across the country and putting up 31 points. I don't think the Golden Eagles will be intimidated but I also don't think they have enough talent to hang within 10 points. This looks like a 14-17 point victory for the Vols. I'm assuming the line is hanging around this number because Florida is coming up next week. I think that'd be more of the case if they hadn't played and lost to Cal this week. There's not much they can hide film wise at this point and they definitely aren't too cocky.
UCLA -7.5 Brigham Young Doesn't BYU sound like a 1-AA team when you call them Brigham Young. It's like I expect them to be facing off against Gardner-Webb or Robert Morris. Anyway, I chalking up the BYU victory last week up to Arizona sucking and home field advantage. I don't think they will have quite the same performance in the Rose Bowl. I'm not saying UCLA beat anything more than a suckass Stanford team last week, but at least they did it on the road. Pedigree wins out. Go Bruins. Actually, I'm only making this pick because of the Bruin Juggler
BOSTON COLLEGE -14 North Carolina State: I wish this line were 13.5. But really, the Wolfpack proved last week that they don't have any fight (god what an awful pick that was). If you can't beat Central Florida at home I don't have faith in your ability to win one for the Gipper against his old school. Looking at the score from last week you'd have to wonder about BC's defense giving up 28 to Wake. But actually the Deacons returned at touchdown and a fumble for a TD. I think BC takes better care of the fooball this week against lesser competition.
AUBURN -7 South Florida
I'm a little surprised this line hasn't moved this week. South Florida has no offensive line to speak of and it will definitely have an effect on the game. I forsee a plethora of turnovers. I think the Auburn offense has some of the jitters out of the way and takes advantage of good field position all day. What this game/spread comes down to, is how many points USF can hold Auburn to. I'm thinking 21-10 or something like that. Maybe three field goals for AU so it's like 23-13. It's not that Auburn is going to dominate this game as much as it's a silly line.
Last Week: 2-3
Season: 2-3

No comments:
Post a Comment